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Donald Trump approval falls to 37 percent over inflation and Iran conflict

President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent, marking the lowest point of his second term as public frustration mounts over inflation and the ongoing conflict with Iran. According to the latest NBC News Decision Desk Poll, 63 percent of adults disapprove of his performance, with half of those expressing strong disapproval. The…

Donald Trump approval falls to 37 percent over inflation and Iran conflict

President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent, marking the lowest point of his second term as public frustration mounts over inflation and the ongoing conflict with Iran.

According to the latest NBC News Decision Desk Poll, 63 percent of adults disapprove of his performance, with half of those expressing strong disapproval. The same proportion believe the country is on the wrong track — the most pessimistic reading since Trump returned to office.

Economic anxiety remains the dominant concern, with 45 percent of respondents identifying inflation and the cost of living as their top issue. Only 32 percent approve of Trump’s handling of inflation, while 52 percent say they strongly disapprove — a figure that has risen seven points since last summer and crossed the 50 percent threshold for the first time in this polling series.

Support within his own party is showing signs of erosion. Republican approval has slipped to 83 percent, down four points from earlier this year, and the share of Republicans who strongly approve has fallen from 58 percent to 52 percent — a six-point decline. Throughout 2025, no Gallup survey had recorded Republican approval below 89 percent, making this a notable shift in intra-party sentiment.

The disconnect between campaign promises and current sentiment is stark. Trump had pledged to curb inflation and avoid foreign entanglements during his 2024 campaign, yet voters now hold him accountable on both fronts. Two-thirds disapprove of his management of inflation and the Iran conflict combined.

Adding to the political headwinds, Energy Secretary Chris Wright recently stated that gasoline prices are unlikely to fall below $3 per gallon until next year, underscoring the persistence of cost pressures the administration has struggled to alleviate.

The implications extend beyond the White House. With congressional midterms approaching, Republicans face the challenge of defending their majorities amid a electorate increasingly dissatisfied with both economic conditions and foreign policy direction.

Key Context This marks the first time in NBC News Decision Desk polling that a majority of Americans — 52 percent — have expressed strong disapproval of Trump’s handling of inflation.

Why has Trump’s approval dropped so sharply among Republicans?

While he retains majority support within the GOP, the erosion in strong approval — from 58 percent to 52 percent — signals weakening enthusiasm among his base, particularly as economic frustrations grow and foreign policy entanglements persist despite campaign promises to avoid them.

What does this mean for the upcoming midterm elections?

Republican candidates may face headwinds in districts where voters are sensitive to inflation and foreign conflicts, as the party’s ability to campaign on economic strength and foreign policy restraint is undermined by current public sentiment.

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